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📄 ResearchAugust 7, 2026

Who is and who is not attempting to quit smoking? A population study in Great Britain, 2020-2026

Aims To estimate the prevalence of past-year smoking quit attempts in Great Britain and examine variation by sociodemographic and socioeconomic characteristics, mental health, alcohol use, smoking-related characteristics, and geographic area. Design Cross-sectional analysis of data from a nationally representative household survey (the Smoking Toolkit Study) conducted October 2020 to May 2026. Setting Great Britain. Participants 24,786 adults ([≥]18y) who reported past-year tobacco smoking. Measurements The outcome was self-reporting having made at least one serious attempt to stop smoking in the previous 12 months. Associations with age, gender, ethnicity, social grade, health-related economic inactivity, mental health conditions, psychological distress, alcohol consumption, use of non-combustible nicotine, cigarette type and consumption, strength of urges to smoke, and motivation to stop smoking were assessed. We calculated weighted prevalence estimates and odds ratios (ORs) adjusted for survey year. Findings Overall, 36.7% [95%CI=36.0-37.4] of adults who had smoked in the past year self-reported making at least one quit attempt. Annual prevalence was relatively stable over the study period (range: 35.5% [33.9-37.1] to 37.6% [35.9-39.3]). Making a past-year quit attempt was more common among younger adults (48.0% among 18-24-year-olds) and declined progressively with age (24.6% among [≥]65-year-olds; OR=0.35, 95%CI=0.31-0.39). Compared with White adults, making a past-year quit attempt was more common among Black (OR=1.31, 1.11-1.55) and Asian (OR=1.40, 1.21-1.62) adults. Adults with a history of diagnosed mental health conditions (OR=1.27, 1.17-1.38) and moderate (OR=1.31, 1.20-1.43) or severe psychological distress in the past month (OR=1.39, 1.25-1.56) had greater odds of reporting a past-year quit attempt than those without. Those reporting increasing/higher risk alcohol consumption had lower odds than non-drinkers (OR=0.88, 0.82-0.95). Current use of nicotine replacement therapy (OR=2.59, 2.36-2.83) and vapes (OR=2.15, 2.02-2.30) were positively associated with reporting a past-year quit attempt. Odds were lower among those with greater cigarette consumption (OR range 0.79-0.86 among those smoking >10 vs. [≤]5 cigarettes per day). Motivation to stop smoking showed the strongest gradient (OR range 2.95-29.09). Geographic differences were modest, with prevalence ranging from 32.1% [29.9-34.3] in Wales to 39.4% [35.9-43.1] in North East England. Conclusions Between 2020 and 2026, around one in three adults in Great Britain who smoked in the past year reported making a serious attempt to quit, corresponding to approximately 3.5 million people annually. Making a past-year quit attempt was more strongly associated with smoking-related factors than sociodemographic characteristics.

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Source

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.08.05.26359774v1?rss=1