Latent biomarker states underlying disagreement between PET-anchored and distribution-based plasma pTau-217 positivity thresholds

Background: Plasma phosphorylated tau-217 (pTau-217) measurements for use in Alzheimer disease (AD) identification require thresholds to define positivity and there exist different approaches to operationally defining the boundary. We compared amyloid {beta} (AB) PET-anchored and distribution-based positivity cut-off values and explored how these mapped onto latent biomarker states. Methods: We analysed plasma pTau-217 measured in the Bio-Hermes-001 cohort (N = 990) using an immunoassay (Lilly) and mass spectrometry assay (University of Gothenburg). Gaussian mixture models were used to identify latent classes and thresholds were derived in two ways: achieving 90% specificity for AB PET positivity and exceeding the mean + 2SDs of the lowest latent class. We explore classes in reference to AB PET status and clinical diagnosis, as well as agreement between approaches using Cohen kappa for both assays. Results: In both assays, three latent biomarker classes were identified with monotonic increases in AD clinical diagnosis and AB PET positivity. PET-anchored thresholds showed lower specificity but higher sensitivity to amyloid positivity than distribution-based thresholds. Overall agreement between the approaches was acceptable (k = 0.678 for Lilly and 0.575 for University of Gothenburg), with disagreement concentrated in the intermediate latent class. Classes with the lowest and highest pTau-217 concentrations were classified consistently using both thresholds Discussion: The two thresholding approaches yielded similar classifications at both the negative and positive tail of the observed biomarker distribution, but classify intermediate concentrations differently. The boundary definition influenced pTau-217 positivity more than the analytical platform itself. Thresholding approaches may capture different pTau-217 biomarker states, therefore such methodological decisions should be grounded in the context of the intended application.