Artificially sweetened beverage intake and risk of liver-related adverse events in individuals with MASLD: A prospective UK Biobank cohort study

Purpose Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a major cause of chronic liver disease and liver-related morbidity worldwide. Although dietary factors may influence MASLD progression, the long-term liver-specific implications of artificially sweetened beverage (ASB) intake remain unclear. We aimed to examine the association between ASB intake and the risk of liver-related adverse events and liver-related death among individuals with MASLD. Methods This prospective cohort study included 50,562 participants with MASLD from the UK Biobank. ASB intake was assessed using 24-hour dietary recalls and categorized as 0, >0-1, and >1 serving/day. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for liver-related adverse events and liver-related death. Restricted cubic spline models were used to assess dose-response patterns, and competing-risk analyses were performed by treating liver-related death as a competing event for liver-related adverse events. Additional substitution, subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the robustness of the findings. Results During a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 292 liver-related adverse events and 91 liver-related deaths occurred. Compared with participants reporting no ASB intake, those consuming >1 serving/day had a higher risk of liver-related adverse events in the fully adjusted model (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.02-1.93; P = 0.039), whereas the association for >0-1 serving/day was not statistically significant (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.92-1.71; P = 0.149). The risk of liver-related adverse events increased across ASB intake categories (P for trend = 0.023). Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a positive linear association between ASB intake and liver-related adverse events (P-overall <0.001; P-nonlinearity = 0.72). In competing-risk analysis, the association for >1 serving/day remained consistent after accounting for liver-related death as a competing event (sub-HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.02-1.93; P = 0.038; Gray test P = 0.006). The association was robust in sensitivity analyses. ASB intake was not significantly associated with liver-related death, and beverage substitution analyses showed no significant associations. Conclusion Among individuals with MASLD, high ASB intake, particularly >1 serving/day, was associated with an increased risk of liver-related adverse events, but not liver-related death. This association was consistent across dose-response, competing-risk, and sensitivity analyses, suggesting that high ASB intake may represent a potential dietary risk marker for adverse liver outcomes in MASLD.